#56 Haymaker (17-14)

avg: 1130.27  •  sd: 61.34  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
31 Black Market Loss 9-13 928.16 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
47 MKE Loss 9-11 975.17 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
18 Pittsburgh Temper Loss 6-13 1071.4 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
26 Brickyard Loss 8-13 902.68 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
48 Four Loss 11-12 1091.08 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
111 Cryptic Win 13-7 1324 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
95 Scythe Win 13-11 1107.91 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
73 Greater Gary Goblins Y Win 13-11 1244.64 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
111 Cryptic Win 13-6 1366.47 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
123 Satellite Win 15-6 1301.15 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
47 MKE Loss 5-15 624.38 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
49 CaSTLe Loss 8-13 717.99 Aug 25th The Bropen 2018
121 BlackER Market Win 13-3 1306.46 Aug 25th The Bropen 2018
39 Mad Men Loss 11-12 1153.97 Aug 25th The Bropen 2018
103 houSE Win 13-7 1381.07 Aug 25th The Bropen 2018
31 Black Market Loss 8-12 905.57 Aug 26th The Bropen 2018
47 MKE Win 13-8 1720.54 Aug 26th The Bropen 2018
53 Illusion Win 13-11 1402.92 Aug 26th The Bropen 2018
123 Satellite Win 13-4 1301.15 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- BlackEST Market** Win 13-2 799.92 Ignored Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
26 Brickyard Loss 6-13 798.84 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
119 MomINtuM Win 13-5 1312.34 Sep 8th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
31 Black Market Loss 7-15 746.73 Sep 9th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
31 Black Market Loss 9-15 831.25 Sep 9th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
73 Greater Gary Goblins Y Win 15-9 1531.28 Sep 9th Central Plains Mens Sectional Championship 2018
112 Enigma Win 15-4 1364.44 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
104 Black Lung Win 13-5 1408.72 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
121 BlackER Market Win 13-11 935.3 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
26 Brickyard Loss 9-13 980.27 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
31 Black Market Loss 8-11 981.12 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
73 Greater Gary Goblins Y Win 13-12 1140.8 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)