#42 CITYWIDE Special (16-10)

avg: 1265.19  •  sd: 71.86  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
50 Colt Loss 11-13 984.02 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
29 Big Wrench Loss 5-15 777.85 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
109 JAWN Win 15-9 1285.35 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
68 John Doe Win 15-9 1554.68 Jul 14th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
54 Blueprint Loss 7-10 769.02 Jul 15th 2018 Philadelphia Select Classic II
50 Colt Win 13-7 1770.39 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
52 Oakgrove Boys Loss 9-10 1061.93 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
34 Lost Boys Loss 8-11 943.58 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
30 Garden State Ultimate Loss 9-10 1225.55 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
25 Medicine Men Loss 6-12 826.27 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
68 John Doe Win 10-9 1164.2 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
50 Colt Win 13-8 1709.02 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
57 Shade Win 13-8 1596.33 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
30 Garden State Ultimate Loss 10-13 1022.41 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
54 Blueprint Win 12-11 1283.68 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
- Spring Break '93** Win 13-3 1042.82 Ignored Aug 25th The Incident 2018
118 Adelphos Win 12-4 1318.38 Sep 8th Founders Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Puppies** Win 13-2 760.85 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Mens Sectional Championship 2018
- Space Force** Win 13-1 264.69 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Mens Sectional Championship 2018
109 JAWN Win 12-10 1007.99 Sep 8th Founders Mens Sectional Championship 2018
58 Rumspringa Win 15-10 1552.13 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
148 Bomb Squad** Win 13-2 970.44 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
76 Slag Dump Win 13-10 1319.03 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
5 Truck Stop** Loss 1-13 1336.86 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
33 Richmond Floodwall Win 14-11 1656.9 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
25 Medicine Men Loss 13-14 1280.58 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)