#148 Sweet Action (13-19)

avg: 871.05  •  sd: 57.71  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
238 EDM Win 8-4 995 Jun 29th Rocky Mountain Mixed Round Robin
188 The Strangers Win 11-8 1039.37 Jun 29th Rocky Mountain Mixed Round Robin
135 Springs Mixed Ulty Team Loss 8-13 457.63 Jun 29th Rocky Mountain Mixed Round Robin
135 Springs Mixed Ulty Team Win 12-11 1078.79 Jun 29th Rocky Mountain Mixed Round Robin
119 Bulleit Train Loss 4-8 488.96 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
104 Argo Loss 6-11 555.14 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
163 VU Win 11-7 1281.1 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
96 Robot Loss 2-13 520.72 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
119 Bulleit Train Loss 7-11 586.88 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
88 Alchemy Loss 8-12 712 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
142 Superstition Loss 10-13 569.66 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
118 Absolute Zero Loss 6-13 454.19 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
88 Alchemy Win 10-9 1278.15 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
235 Fear and Loathing Win 13-9 852.39 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
48 Pivot Loss 3-13 840.51 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
118 Absolute Zero Win 11-10 1179.19 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
66 Firefly Win 13-12 1382.29 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
135 Springs Mixed Ulty Team Loss 8-11 588.18 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
212 All Jeeps, All Night. Win 11-5 1181.04 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
59 Flight Club Loss 5-10 736.67 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
72 Vendetta Loss 7-10 841.79 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
46 Mesteño Loss 4-11 844.29 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
135 Springs Mixed Ulty Team Loss 8-9 828.79 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
238 EDM Win 11-2 1030.19 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
188 The Strangers Win 9-5 1202.82 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
114 Mixed Signals Loss 4-10 460.51 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
81 Bexar Loss 9-12 849.21 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
46 Mesteño Loss 6-11 897.59 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
6 shame.** Loss 5-13 1328.01 Ignored Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
126 Risky Business Win 12-10 1248.37 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
129 Moontower Win 10-9 1113.19 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
114 Mixed Signals Loss 5-12 460.51 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)