#107 Shakedown (22-17)

avg: 1092.86  •  sd: 46.31  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
73 7 Sins Loss 8-12 788.75 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
241 Madison United Mixed Ultimate Win 12-7 939.45 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
111 PanIC Win 10-8 1330.63 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
40 Chalice Loss 3-8 884.8 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
199 Jabba Win 8-1 1236.72 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
26 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 2-11 1041.97 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
112 Pandamonium Win 9-6 1485.67 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
94 Mutiny Loss 8-12 687.65 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
162 BATL Cows Win 13-5 1419.25 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
20 Weird Loss 4-13 1081.45 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
170 Magic City Mayhem Win 13-9 1181.71 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
20 Weird Loss 3-13 1081.45 Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
78 Memphis STAX Win 12-9 1552.7 Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
228 The Umbrella** Win 11-4 1070.04 Ignored Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
65 Northern Comfort Loss 8-11 897.49 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again Loss 12-13 910.85 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
63 Toast Loss 11-13 1048.52 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
65 Northern Comfort Loss 6-13 663.1 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
147 Los Heros Win 12-8 1314.38 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
63 Toast Loss 9-13 858.79 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
240 Duloofda Win 13-8 915.73 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
156 EMU Win 11-8 1211.61 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
211 Mastodon Win 13-9 1007.23 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
121 Stripes Loss 6-13 442.87 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
117 Bird Win 6-5 1181.38 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
141 Point of No Return Win 10-7 1288.29 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
76 Mojo Jojo Loss 5-9 694.87 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
156 EMU Win 15-5 1446 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
23 U54 Ultimate Loss 8-13 1157.04 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
147 Los Heros Win 15-12 1173.72 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
121 Stripes Win 13-11 1271.71 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Win 13-10 1236.81 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again Win 14-11 1349.19 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Loss 6-13 1092.19 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
168 ELevate Win 11-6 1326.84 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
132 Liquid Hustle Win 13-10 1295.61 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
166 Moonshine Win 13-11 1032.5 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
24 Steamboat Loss 2-13 1050.58 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Loss 7-11 762.99 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)