#109 Shakedown (19-14)

avg: 1141.92  •  sd: 46.31  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
93 PanIC Win 10-8 1447.35 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
65 7 Sins Loss 8-12 892.47 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
244 Madison United Mixed Ultimate Win 12-7 982.29 Jun 29th Spirit of the Plains 2019
122 Pandamonium Win 9-6 1500.29 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
22 Chalice Loss 3-8 1117.13 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
192 Jabba Win 8-1 1308.36 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
19 The Chad Larson Experience** Loss 2-11 1159.72 Ignored Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2019
164 BATL Cows Win 13-5 1456.2 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
174 Magic City Mayhem Win 13-9 1204.73 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
99 Mutiny Loss 8-12 729.32 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
16 Weird** Loss 4-13 1196.8 Ignored Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
230 The Umbrella** Win 11-4 1113.47 Ignored Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
70 Memphis STAX Win 12-9 1646.89 Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
16 Weird** Loss 3-13 1196.8 Ignored Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
71 Northern Comfort Loss 8-11 917.15 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
125 Nothing's Great Again Loss 12-13 927.35 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
58 Toast Loss 11-13 1156.24 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
71 Northern Comfort Loss 6-13 682.76 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
135 Los Heros Win 12-8 1452.23 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
58 Toast Loss 9-13 966.52 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
213 Mastodon Win 13-9 1064.09 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
240 Duloofda Win 13-8 967.59 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
160 EMU Win 11-8 1260.52 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
118 Stripes Loss 6-13 494.29 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
129 Bird Win 6-5 1160.56 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
147 Point of No Return Win 10-7 1322.39 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
92 Mojo Jojo Loss 5-9 664.09 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
135 Los Heros Win 15-12 1311.57 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
160 EMU Win 15-5 1494.92 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
50 U54 Ultimate Loss 8-13 965.15 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
125 Nothing's Great Again Win 14-11 1365.69 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Win 13-10 1313.53 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
118 Stripes Win 13-11 1323.13 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)