#52 Instant Karma (21-10)

avg: 1345.05  •  sd: 63.32  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
167 Wildstyle Loss 8-10 520.63 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
130 Impact Win 9-7 1248.16 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
178 Balloon** Win 13-4 1288.3 Ignored Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
116 Moontower Win 14-11 1349.39 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
97 tHUMP Loss 6-10 643.72 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
48 Rubix Loss 12-13 1253.83 Aug 4th Coconino Classic 2018
47 ROBOS Loss 12-14 1166.38 Aug 4th Coconino Classic 2018
170 Spoiler Alert Win 15-5 1358.52 Aug 4th Coconino Classic 2018
200 Rogue** Win 11-3 1172.74 Ignored Aug 5th Coconino Classic 2018
162 Fear and Loathing Win 11-3 1397.89 Aug 5th Coconino Classic 2018
110 California Burrito Win 9-6 1485.65 Aug 5th Coconino Classic 2018
91 Argo Win 11-6 1711.65 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 13-10 1607.63 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
51 Cutthroat Win 12-9 1703.05 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
- Lone Peak Y Win 12-11 1027 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
47 ROBOS Loss 9-11 1138.13 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
46 The Administrators Win 13-11 1624.64 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
67 Firefly Loss 12-13 1157.6 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
109 Superstition Win 11-7 1539.35 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
162 Fear and Loathing Win 13-2 1397.89 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
47 ROBOS Win 13-9 1805.91 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
48 Rubix Win 13-10 1706.98 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
170 Spoiler Alert Win 12-9 1103.89 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
65 Family Style Win 11-10 1412.22 Sep 9th So Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
67 Firefly Win 13-7 1840.14 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
29 7 Figures Loss 11-13 1331.54 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
7 Blackbird Loss 2-13 1291.68 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
61 Donuts Loss 6-13 692.12 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
65 Family Style Win 13-10 1615.36 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
47 ROBOS Loss 5-13 787.34 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
67 Firefly Win 13-11 1511.45 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)