#263 Albany Airbenders (8-24)

avg: 275.73  •  sd: 57.06  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
296 Pink pear 2019** Win 13-4 233.99 Ignored Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
209 TBD Loss 3-13 1.61 Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
271 Tropics Ultimate Win 10-9 367.71 Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
181 Mashed Loss 9-12 371.1 Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
179 Unlimited Swipes Loss 10-12 485.87 Jun 23rd Capital District Classic 2019
192 Sad Mountain Loss 5-13 63.56 Jun 23rd Capital District Classic 2019
197 HAOS Loss 7-12 124.73 Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
93 Sunken Circus** Loss 3-15 533.39 Ignored Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
220 Side Hustle Win 14-10 947.95 Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
207 Face Off Loss 7-11 138.11 Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
203 Rainbow Loss 4-15 29.93 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2019
257 Equinox Win 11-10 438.24 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2019
201 Nautilus Win 11-8 998.37 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
51 Darkwing** Loss 5-13 810.14 Ignored Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
257 Equinox Win 13-8 809.4 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
207 Face Off Win 11-10 730.01 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
201 Nautilus Loss 4-8 67.96 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
197 HAOS Loss 3-13 45.24 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
150 Scarecrow Loss 6-9 443.45 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
201 Nautilus Loss 7-13 75.23 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
109 Birds** Loss 5-13 478.47 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
115 Stoke** Loss 1-13 460.12 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
242 Pandatime Loss 7-11 -54.87 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
267 Baltimore BENCH Loss 6-12 -327.77 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
197 HAOS Loss 7-11 178.35 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
293 Turnstyle Win 13-5 414.57 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
91 Garbage Plates** Loss 3-13 535.45 Ignored Sep 7th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
232 Buffalo Brain Freeze Loss 4-11 -146.92 Sep 7th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
202 Zen Loss 8-9 507.58 Sep 7th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
186 Townies Loss 9-11 438.16 Sep 7th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
153 Buffalo Lake Effect Loss 6-12 279.72 Sep 8th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
181 Mashed Loss 3-13 116.47 Sep 8th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)