#264 Albany Airbenders (8-24)

avg: 331.85  •  sd: 57.06  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
296 Pink pear 2019** Win 13-4 283.89 Ignored Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
208 TBD Loss 3-13 61.71 Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
269 Tropics Ultimate Win 10-9 418.3 Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
178 Mashed Loss 9-12 433.87 Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
177 Unlimited Swipes Loss 10-12 542.74 Jun 23rd Capital District Classic 2019
190 Sad Mountain Loss 5-13 120.38 Jun 23rd Capital District Classic 2019
97 Sunken Circus** Loss 3-15 577.86 Ignored Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
199 HAOS Loss 7-12 176.43 Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
224 Side Hustle Win 14-10 984.53 Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
210 Face Off Loss 7-11 190.98 Jul 6th AntlerLock 2019
204 Rainbow Loss 4-15 81.04 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2019
258 Equinox Win 11-10 490.21 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2019
258 Equinox Win 13-8 861.37 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
210 Face Off Win 11-10 782.87 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
39 Darkwing** Loss 5-13 941.07 Ignored Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
194 Nautilus Win 11-8 1069.01 Jul 20th Vacationland 2019
148 Scarecrow Loss 6-9 510.14 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
199 HAOS Loss 3-13 96.95 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
194 Nautilus Loss 4-8 138.59 Jul 21st Vacationland 2019
247 Pandatime Loss 7-11 -18.93 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
96 Birds** Loss 5-13 578.39 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
194 Nautilus Loss 7-13 145.87 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
112 Stoke** Loss 1-13 513.57 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
270 Baltimore BENCH Loss 6-12 -286.67 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
199 HAOS Loss 7-11 230.05 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
293 Turnstyle Win 13-5 439.57 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
201 Zen Loss 8-9 567.9 Sep 7th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
185 Townies Loss 9-11 498.89 Sep 7th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
91 Garbage Plates** Loss 3-13 596.12 Ignored Sep 7th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
231 Buffalo Brain Freeze Loss 4-11 -88.89 Sep 7th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
151 Buffalo Lake Effect Loss 6-12 343.78 Sep 8th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
178 Mashed Loss 3-13 179.24 Sep 8th Upstate New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)