#80 Alchemy (16-11)

avg: 1253.48  •  sd: 49.08  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
239 Fear and Loathing** Win 13-5 1078.37 Ignored Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
95 Platypi Loss 6-8 877.91 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
36 Garage Sale Loss 7-9 1284.04 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
163 VU Win 13-4 1470.8 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
67 American Barbecue Loss 11-12 1204.41 Jun 30th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
95 Platypi Loss 9-11 929.19 Jun 30th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
106 California Burrito Win 11-10 1273.22 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
143 Superstition Win 11-6 1496.98 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
179 Long Beach Legacy Win 13-7 1331.35 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
67 American Barbecue Loss 9-10 1204.41 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
158 Sweet Action Win 12-8 1344.49 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
101 Robot Win 11-6 1714.62 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
108 Argo Win 12-7 1662.43 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
116 Absolute Zero Win 13-8 1600.98 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
239 Fear and Loathing** Win 13-5 1078.37 Ignored Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
158 Sweet Action Loss 9-10 778.34 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
44 Pivot Loss 9-12 1154.77 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
54 Cutthroat Loss 6-13 829.81 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
104 Moontower Win 12-8 1600.27 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
12 Blackbird Loss 7-13 1322.2 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
184 DR Win 13-2 1355.92 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
76 Firefly Loss 8-10 1007.96 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
215 Megalodon Win 12-7 1149.52 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
54 Cutthroat Loss 6-11 883.12 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
163 VU Win 9-7 1150.13 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
98 Buckwild Win 11-9 1423.53 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
108 Argo Win 10-8 1404.59 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)