#85 Eat Lightning (19-14)

avg: 1165.11  •  sd: 63.02  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
92 The Bandits Win 12-11 1259.35 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
49 League of Shadows Loss 7-15 837.71 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
123 PS Loss 10-13 704.22 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
110 Rat City Loss 11-15 693.13 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
115 Stoke Loss 8-11 694.51 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
103 Soft Boiled Win 11-8 1476.36 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
133 Night Shift Win 10-8 1224.55 Aug 17th Chowdafest 2019
198 x-C Win 13-10 968.05 Aug 17th Chowdafest 2019
86 The Feminists Win 11-10 1289.15 Aug 17th Chowdafest 2019
203 Rainbow Win 11-8 995.54 Aug 17th Chowdafest 2019
51 Darkwing Loss 9-13 991.57 Aug 18th Chowdafest 2019
93 Sunken Circus Loss 8-12 692.24 Aug 18th Chowdafest 2019
92 The Bandits Win 11-9 1383.56 Aug 18th Chowdafest 2019
267 Baltimore BENCH** Win 13-2 851.54 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
265 I-79** Win 13-1 862.95 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
144 Philly Twist Win 13-7 1449.94 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
110 Rat City Win 13-5 1674.3 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
124 Funk Win 12-10 1262.7 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
142 Superstition Win 10-3 1497.8 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
103 Soft Boiled Loss 10-11 985.75 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
201 Nautilus Win 15-13 846.94 Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
124 Funk Win 17-9 1594.59 Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
86 The Feminists Win 11-9 1413.36 Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
109 Birds Win 15-9 1593.95 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
44 Grand Army Loss 12-15 1160.96 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
86 The Feminists Loss 8-12 723 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
109 Birds Win 12-11 1203.47 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
44 Grand Army Loss 5-13 861.45 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
51 Darkwing Win 10-7 1799.8 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
8 Slow White** Loss 5-13 1230.45 Ignored Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
44 Grand Army Loss 11-13 1232.61 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
12 Snake Country Loss 7-15 1192.02 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
49 League of Shadows Loss 7-15 837.71 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)