#196 Petey's Scallywags (12-17)

avg: 646.12  •  sd: 57.38  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
33 Hybrid Loss 5-11 946.4 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
249 Skyhawks Win 11-4 976.74 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
153 Buffalo Lake Effect Loss 4-11 259.03 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
147 Los Heros Loss 9-11 624.02 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
175 Prion Win 9-8 866.33 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
248 Second Wind Win 8-7 502.22 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
265 I-79 Win 13-8 759.11 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
80 Trash Pandas Loss 5-14 598.09 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
182 Rocket LawnChair Loss 5-12 113.72 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
216 Pi+ Win 13-12 700.35 Jul 20th Bourbon Bash 2019
189 Hairy Otter Win 10-9 790.97 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2019
277 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack Win 11-10 290.23 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2019
166 Moonshine Loss 4-6 438.05 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Loss 8-13 733.72 Aug 11th CUDA Round Robin 2019
172 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon Win 13-10 1086.04 Aug 11th CUDA Round Robin 2019
248 Second Wind Win 15-14 502.22 Aug 11th CUDA Round Robin 2019
147 Los Heros Loss 4-11 273.22 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
132 Liquid Hustle Loss 11-12 842.47 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
185 Pixel Loss 9-13 269.64 Aug 24th Indy Invite Club 2019
185 Pixel Loss 10-12 450.08 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
264 SlipStream Win 12-9 614.27 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Loss 8-14 693.85 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2019
33 Hybrid Loss 13-15 1332.23 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
286 Cleveland Rocks Win 13-7 603.63 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
24 Steamboat** Loss 2-13 1050.58 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
182 Rocket LawnChair Win 11-6 1260.42 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
185 Pixel Loss 10-14 289.5 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
166 Moonshine Loss 12-13 678.66 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
204 Pi+ Loss 12-14 402.29 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)