#57 Metro North (16-18)

avg: 1329.01  •  sd: 60.43  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
120 Battleship Win 14-9 1522.19 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
71 Chaotic Good Loss 8-9 1109.05 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
51 Darkwing Win 13-8 1906.3 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
12 Snake Country Loss 6-11 1245.33 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
71 Chaotic Good Win 14-11 1547.39 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
34 XIST Loss 9-11 1281.03 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
8 Slow White Loss 9-15 1314.97 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
36 BW Ultimate Win 11-10 1649.91 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
46 Mesteño Loss 8-15 879.48 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
67 The Administrators Win 12-9 1600.55 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
44 Grand Army Loss 9-10 1336.45 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
27 Rally Loss 7-13 1079.42 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Loss 8-9 1386.76 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
29 Alloy Loss 6-13 1022.61 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
27 Rally Loss 7-12 1116.44 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
55 Sparkle Ponies Loss 7-11 874.4 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
24 Steamboat Loss 6-12 1071.27 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
44 Grand Army Win 12-11 1586.45 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
89 HVAC Win 12-11 1277.46 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Loss 11-13 1059.23 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
174 Alt Stacks Win 15-5 1341.84 Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
293 Turnstyle** Win 15-1 414.57 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
179 Unlimited Swipes** Win 12-5 1323.99 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
209 TBD** Win 15-2 1201.61 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
44 Grand Army Loss 3-13 861.45 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
124 Funk Win 15-10 1478.18 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
86 The Feminists Loss 11-13 935.31 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
49 League of Shadows Win 13-9 1856.28 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
86 The Feminists Win 14-8 1700.19 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
12 Snake Country Loss 8-13 1295.86 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
150 Scarecrow Win 13-3 1462.02 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
34 XIST Win 11-7 1997.13 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
7 Wild Card Loss 7-15 1273.76 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
49 League of Shadows Loss 10-15 984.11 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)