#132 HVAC (14-14)

avg: 962.53  •  sd: 69.41  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
156 Heavy Flow Win 9-7 1118.9 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
173 Fake Newport News Win 12-11 866.57 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
224 Stormborn Win 9-7 636.79 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Loss 9-15 727.73 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
153 APEX Win 13-8 1349.51 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
126 American Hyperbole Loss 9-12 636.89 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
127 Funk Loss 10-13 652.74 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
50 Grand Army Loss 9-13 951.11 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
83 Birds Loss 11-13 996.7 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
108 Alt Stacks Loss 7-13 519.96 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
165 Unlimited Swipes Loss 9-14 314.39 Aug 26th The Incident 2018
141 Powermove Loss 12-13 768.51 Aug 26th The Incident 2018
220 Bees Win 9-4 1003.91 Aug 26th The Incident 2018
- Vacation** Win 11-4 579.6 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Loss 9-10 1118.22 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
192 RnB Win 10-6 1114.93 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Loss 8-10 914.76 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
243 SPACE INVADERS Win 11-6 567.33 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
101 Tyrannis Win 12-6 1691.7 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
144 Rat City Win 10-6 1386.73 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Loss 4-5 1052.43 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
95 Ant Madness Win 11-10 1272.28 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
1 AMP** Loss 5-13 1553.89 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
149 Crucible Win 13-9 1298.27 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Loss 8-15 678.41 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
117 The Process Win 14-13 1157.39 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
99 Legion Loss 6-14 515.26 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Win 10-8 1440.09 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)