#104 Argo (15-12)

avg: 1101.84  •  sd: 62.04  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
101 Buckwild Loss 11-12 988.25 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
50 Cutthroat Loss 10-11 1291.57 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
299 Delta Breeze** Win 13-1 600 Ignored Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
61 American Barbecue Loss 7-13 740.83 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
235 Fear and Loathing Win 12-11 558.83 Jun 30th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
163 VU Win 11-7 1281.1 Jun 30th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
119 Bulleit Train Win 9-8 1178.77 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
118 Absolute Zero Loss 5-9 525.13 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
148 Sweet Action Win 11-6 1417.75 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
96 Robot Win 10-9 1245.72 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
88 Alchemy Loss 7-12 632.64 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
178 Long Beach Legacy Win 15-7 1325.2 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
98 Family Style Win 11-10 1243.32 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
50 Cutthroat Loss 9-13 998 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
114 Mixed Signals Loss 8-12 619.36 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
66 Firefly Win 11-10 1382.29 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
164 Wasatch Sasquatch Win 13-6 1406.46 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
48 Pivot Loss 7-12 920 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
59 Flight Club Win 11-7 1777.46 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
42 Classy Win 10-9 1587.69 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
145 The Los Gatos Gatos-Senior Win 10-8 1150.49 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
64 Donuts Loss 6-10 776.61 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
260 Party Cats-D** Win 13-3 901.15 Ignored Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
101 Buckwild Win 9-8 1238.25 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
88 Alchemy Loss 8-10 890.49 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
61 American Barbecue Loss 8-10 1035.7 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
66 Firefly Loss 9-11 1008.08 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)