#50 Grand Army (19-10)

avg: 1369.68  •  sd: 62.19  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
165 Unlimited Swipes Win 15-8 1353.07 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
113 The Bandits Win 15-8 1608.3 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
158 Philly Twist Win 14-9 1288.97 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
59 Distelfink Win 12-9 1646.08 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
92 Garbage Plates Win 11-9 1412.56 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
18 Loco Loss 7-15 1134.4 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
73 Chaotic Good Loss 5-14 665.65 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
179 LORD** Win 13-5 1281.22 Ignored Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
126 American Hyperbole Win 12-10 1220.38 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
114 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 12-7 1562.25 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Loss 9-12 897.85 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
163 Stoke Win 12-9 1141.98 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
126 American Hyperbole Loss 11-12 857.26 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
127 Funk Win 15-8 1545.69 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
83 Birds Win 15-14 1350.54 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
132 HVAC Win 13-9 1381.09 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
108 Alt Stacks Loss 9-11 828.28 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
139 Nautilus Win 13-3 1515.89 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Pink Pear Win 13-3 1391.74 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
66 The Feminists Win 13-9 1702.12 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
22 XIST Loss 10-15 1164.44 Sep 9th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
66 The Feminists Loss 10-13 955.42 Sep 9th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
92 Garbage Plates Win 12-9 1508.72 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
58 Happy Valley Win 14-8 1847.45 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
6 Snake Country Loss 5-14 1342.98 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
66 The Feminists Win 12-7 1804.07 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
9 Wild Card Loss 7-15 1273.65 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
22 XIST Loss 8-15 1053.24 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
11 Slow White Win 15-10 2280.9 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)