#83 FlyTrap (20-14)

avg: 1168.3  •  sd: 51.94  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
19 Columbus Cocktails Loss 4-13 1092.19 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Win 13-8 1784.23 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
20 Weird Loss 10-13 1353.31 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
43 Murmur Loss 7-13 904.45 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
128 Legion Win 12-10 1229.77 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
54 Malice in Wonderland Loss 8-13 845.87 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
110 Rat City Win 12-8 1515.45 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
165 Possum Win 13-2 1405.52 Jul 13th Hometown Mix Up 2019
273 Rampage Win 13-6 832.02 Jul 13th Hometown Mix Up 2019
173 Piedmont United Win 13-6 1357.62 Jul 13th Hometown Mix Up 2019
116 Seoulmates Win 13-8 1553.08 Jul 13th Hometown Mix Up 2019
100 NC Galaxy Win 8-7 1241.4 Jul 14th Hometown Mix Up 2019
160 APEX Win 13-5 1428.62 Jul 14th Hometown Mix Up 2019
18 Superlame Loss 4-13 1105.27 Jul 14th Hometown Mix Up 2019
154 Goose Lee Win 12-6 1436.43 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 7-13 883.84 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
166 Moonshine Win 13-6 1403.66 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
102 Tyrannis Win 13-12 1237.17 Aug 10th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
162 BATL Cows Loss 9-11 570.05 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
154 Goose Lee Win 9-8 982.12 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
68 JLP Loss 12-15 945.1 Aug 11th HoDown ShowDown 23 GOAT
138 Too Much Fun Win 9-8 1034.03 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
32 Storm Loss 6-12 982.01 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
259 ThunderCats Win 13-7 861.56 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
116 Seoulmates Win 11-8 1422.53 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
149 Rowdy Win 11-8 1236.15 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
54 Malice in Wonderland Loss 10-13 1013.88 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
116 Seoulmates Win 14-12 1277.87 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
43 Murmur Loss 8-10 1199.31 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
35 'Shine Loss 10-13 1197.76 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
75 Auburn HeyDay Loss 10-13 899.35 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
78 Memphis STAX Win 11-9 1456.54 Sep 21st Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 9-13 1022.81 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
68 JLP Win 11-10 1370.59 Sep 22nd Southeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)