#33 League of Shadows (21-12)

avg: 1535.95  •  sd: 68.8  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
- Battleship Win 14-7 2080.28 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
30 Jughandle Win 15-9 2072.83 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
66 The Feminists Win 15-9 1799.04 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
11 Slow White Win 15-11 2208.46 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
9 Wild Card Loss 10-12 1635.53 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
6 Snake Country Loss 11-15 1561.81 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
11 Slow White Loss 5-15 1227.3 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
102 Titan NE Win 13-8 1603.12 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
133 Townies Win 15-9 1476.64 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
73 Chaotic Good Win 14-11 1578.99 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
164 Enough Monkeys Win 15-7 1395.85 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
102 Titan NE Win 15-6 1706.96 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
133 Townies Win 15-4 1561.15 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
181 RIMIX** Win 15-3 1272.36 Ignored Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
26 Alloy Win 12-11 1714.35 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
19 Bucket Loss 7-12 1184.72 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
20 No Touching! Loss 5-13 1081.38 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
12 Mischief Loss 7-11 1317.46 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
10 shame. Loss 7-11 1377.83 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
181 RIMIX** Win 15-3 1272.36 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Drunk in Space** Win 15-2 834.34 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
150 Scarecrow Win 14-11 1180.74 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
148 WHUF*** Win 15-4 1480.18 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
53 Darkwing Win 14-7 1917.15 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
53 Darkwing Win 15-10 1787.87 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
6 Snake Country Loss 9-15 1427.5 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
53 Darkwing Win 12-8 1775.42 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
83 Birds Win 11-10 1350.54 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
11 Slow White Loss 9-14 1353.43 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
107 Sunken Circus Win 15-7 1677.52 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
9 Wild Card Loss 8-13 1377.49 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
32 UNION Loss 9-11 1291.6 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
6 Snake Country Loss 10-14 1544.28 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)