#93 Thoroughbred (14-15)

avg: 1156.54  •  sd: 68.41  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
34 Woodwork Loss 7-13 957.85 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
70 Chalice Loss 9-10 1151.63 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
247 Macalester College[C]** Win 13-1 468.93 Ignored Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
166 Spirit Fowl Win 13-6 1387.68 Jun 30th Spirit of the Plains 2018
34 Woodwork Loss 6-8 1214.89 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
70 Chalice Win 11-9 1525.84 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
135 Blitzkrieg Win 13-6 1557.73 Jul 1st Spirit of the Plains 2018
49 Cosa Nostra Loss 9-11 1122.58 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
24 Rally Loss 8-11 1245.5 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 8-13 1267.56 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
81 Pegasus Win 11-7 1704.19 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
89 Sweet Action Win 13-9 1587.6 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
72 Bird Win 13-9 1684.88 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
45 Northern Comfort Loss 9-13 1017.29 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
77 Tequila Mockingbird Win 11-10 1377.9 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
34 Woodwork Loss 8-15 950.57 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
88 Toast Win 15-10 1630.4 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
70 Chalice Win 15-13 1490.81 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
130 Impact Win 12-11 1093.83 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
135 Blitzkrieg Loss 9-13 539.17 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
25 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 5-13 1000.75 Sep 15th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
215 Free Ride** Win 13-5 1092.01 Ignored Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
159 Hellbenders Win 13-7 1368.27 Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
111 panIC Loss 8-11 700.88 Sep 16th West Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
16 NOISE Loss 1-13 1143.18 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
45 Northern Comfort Loss 7-12 915.35 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
111 panIC Loss 9-10 941.49 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
112 Mojo Jojo Loss 9-13 643.82 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
159 Hellbenders Win 12-10 1048.86 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)