#51 Cutthroat (18-16)

avg: 1357.69  •  sd: 66.19  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
28 Mesteño Loss 5-13 962.54 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 5-11 1163.72 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
89 Sweet Action Win 11-10 1294.03 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
10 shame. Loss 9-13 1426.16 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
109 Superstition Win 15-2 1672.46 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
44 Bozos Loss 13-15 1246.49 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
161 AC Bandits Win 13-5 1400.29 Jul 28th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2018
91 Argo Win 12-8 1606.11 Jul 28th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2018
119 Buckwild Win 10-5 1604.99 Jul 28th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2018
85 Platypi Win 11-9 1439.88 Jul 28th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2018
91 Argo Loss 11-12 1039.96 Jul 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2018
52 Instant Karma Loss 9-12 999.69 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
91 Argo Win 13-6 1764.96 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
- Lone Peak Y Win 13-6 1502 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Loss 8-9 1154.48 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
74 Alchemy Win 13-8 1761.36 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
48 Rubix Loss 6-13 778.83 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
47 ROBOS Loss 9-11 1138.13 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
182 Sebastopol Orchard** Win 11-4 1272.27 Ignored Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
61 Donuts Win 11-9 1541.33 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
236 Delta Breeze** Win 11-3 809.22 Ignored Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
7 Blackbird Loss 5-11 1291.68 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
119 Buckwild Win 11-5 1631.1 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
74 Alchemy Win 13-8 1761.36 Sep 9th Nor Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
35 Classy Win 13-8 2009.87 Sep 9th Nor Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
12 Mischief Loss 12-13 1659.35 Sep 9th Nor Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
35 Classy Loss 7-13 956.18 Sep 9th Nor Cal Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
85 Platypi Win 13-11 1419.51 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
65 Family Style Win 15-14 1412.22 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
35 Classy Loss 11-13 1284.87 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
12 Mischief Loss 3-13 1184.35 Sep 22nd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
55 American Barbecue Loss 12-14 1103.33 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
67 Firefly Loss 4-13 682.6 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
65 Family Style Win 13-11 1516.06 Sep 23rd Southwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)