#179 Unlimited Swipes (14-16)

avg: 723.99  •  sd: 45.05  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
91 Garbage Plates Loss 4-12 535.45 Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
192 Sad Mountain Win 10-9 788.56 Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
123 PS Loss 7-11 565.47 Jun 22nd Capital District Classic 2019
263 Albany Airbenders Win 12-10 513.85 Jun 23rd Capital District Classic 2019
296 Pink pear 2019** Win 13-3 233.99 Ignored Jun 23rd Capital District Classic 2019
271 Tropics Ultimate Win 13-3 842.71 Jun 23rd Capital District Classic 2019
71 Chaotic Good Loss 4-15 634.05 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
77 Ant Madness Loss 8-14 685.57 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
131 Farm Show Loss 7-15 373.83 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
55 Sparkle Ponies Loss 7-15 741.29 Jul 13th Philly Invite 2019
193 Heavy Flow Loss 12-14 440.18 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
144 Philly Twist Loss 6-13 292.41 Jul 14th Philly Invite 2019
91 Garbage Plates Loss 9-12 790.09 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
144 Philly Twist Win 13-10 1220.55 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
233 Stormborn Win 11-10 575.35 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
242 Pandatime Win 13-3 1012.02 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
201 Nautilus Win 13-12 757.77 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
103 Soft Boiled Loss 9-13 692.18 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
124 Funk Loss 7-10 634.91 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
293 Turnstyle** Win 13-3 414.57 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
209 TBD Win 11-7 1068.5 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
103 Soft Boiled Loss 6-10 614.59 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
242 Pandatime Win 12-4 1012.02 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
180 Varsity Win 9-7 998.68 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
110 Rat City Loss 6-10 578.14 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
293 Turnstyle** Win 15-3 414.57 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
209 TBD Loss 10-11 476.61 Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
57 Metro North** Loss 5-12 729.01 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
201 Nautilus Win 11-8 998.37 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
174 Alt Stacks Loss 12-13 616.84 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)