#77 Tequila Mockingbird (19-13)

avg: 1252.9  •  sd: 62.25  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
149 Crucible Win 11-7 1346.6 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
208 Bonfire Win 11-7 1001.59 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
217 Mastodon** Win 11-3 1083.04 Ignored Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
- Sabers** Win 11-2 662.84 Ignored Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
140 Rocket LawnChair Win 10-9 1020.66 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
32 UNION Loss 7-15 940.8 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
125 Hybrid Win 15-8 1572.42 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
45 Northern Comfort Loss 11-13 1207.02 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
28 Mesteño Loss 5-10 988.64 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
13 Birdfruit Loss 9-11 1530.08 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 4-13 1163.72 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
44 Bozos Win 11-9 1709.87 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
39 Minnesota Star Power Loss 7-13 942 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
72 Bird Win 11-10 1391.31 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
45 Northern Comfort Loss 10-13 1107.72 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
145 Pandamonium Win 11-9 1134.59 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
93 Thoroughbred Loss 10-11 1031.54 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
112 Mojo Jojo Win 15-9 1577.87 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
88 Toast Loss 12-14 955.83 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
72 Bird Loss 11-15 885.15 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
146 Prion Win 12-6 1464.33 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
68 Nothing's Great Again Loss 9-12 935.95 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
137 ELevate Win 11-9 1191.07 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
211 Stackcats** Win 10-4 1118.98 Ignored Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
68 Nothing's Great Again Win 13-10 1609.45 Sep 9th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
104 Shakedown Win 10-9 1225.57 Sep 9th Central Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
125 Hybrid Win 13-6 1607.61 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
86 Commitment Issues Win 13-8 1686.29 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
171 North Coast Win 13-8 1246.88 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Loss 10-15 1046.69 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
146 Prion Win 12-8 1326.17 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
36 Steamboat Loss 9-12 1160.03 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)