#13 Birdfruit (20-10)

avg: 1779.29  •  sd: 74.06  •  top 16/20: 58.6%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
31 Metro North Win 13-9 1974.88 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
12 Mischief Loss 11-12 1659.35 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
10 shame. Loss 12-13 1719.73 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
15 Toro Loss 11-13 1531.8 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
21 Public Enemy Loss 7-8 1550.65 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
20 No Touching! Win 13-12 1806.38 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
24 Rally Loss 8-9 1486.11 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
28 Mesteño Win 14-8 2098.57 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
77 Tequila Mockingbird Win 11-9 1502.1 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
32 UNION Win 11-10 1665.8 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
35 Classy Win 12-6 2093.02 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
17 Polar Bears Loss 11-13 1510.84 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
61 Donuts Loss 11-12 1167.12 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
37 BW Ultimate Win 13-7 2058.09 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
39 Minnesota Star Power Win 12-5 2099.53 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
6 Snake Country Loss 10-12 1704.86 Aug 18th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
29 7 Figures Win 13-6 2160.38 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
35 Classy Win 13-11 1742.55 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
6 Snake Country Win 13-8 2439.14 Aug 19th The 1st Annual Northwest Fruit Bowl
- iNUT** Win 13-2 1260.54 Ignored Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
96 Pheathers and Phurr Win 13-7 1697.49 Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
142 Fable** Win 13-5 1491.61 Ignored Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
81 Pegasus Win 13-7 1794.82 Sep 8th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
23 Lights Out Win 12-8 2055.61 Sep 9th Washington Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
121 Igneous Ultimate Win 13-6 1620.64 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
44 Bozos Win 13-7 2018.2 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
106 Choco Ghost House** Win 13-4 1680.74 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
4 BFG Loss 11-13 1751.05 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
46 The Administrators Win 13-8 1891.96 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 6-13 1163.72 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)