#119 Seoulmates (19-9)

avg: 1089.54  •  sd: 48.62  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
223 District Cocktails Win 13-7 1145.45 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
131 Legion Loss 11-12 904.65 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
274 Rampage** Win 13-5 853.59 Ignored Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
195 Heavy Flow Win 11-8 1067.27 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
153 Jackpot Win 12-8 1362.14 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
111 NC Galaxy Win 13-11 1353.68 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
103 Tyrannis Loss 11-12 1035.03 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
89 FlyTrap Loss 8-13 704.55 Jul 13th Hometown Mix Up 2019
181 Piedmont United Win 13-7 1327.95 Jul 13th Hometown Mix Up 2019
167 Possum Win 12-10 1074.22 Jul 13th Hometown Mix Up 2019
274 Rampage** Win 13-3 853.59 Ignored Jul 13th Hometown Mix Up 2019
181 Piedmont United Win 12-8 1211.57 Jul 14th Hometown Mix Up 2019
167 Possum Win 13-5 1436.1 Jul 14th Hometown Mix Up 2019
159 Rowdy Loss 8-10 637.97 Jul 14th Hometown Mix Up 2019
174 Magic City Mayhem Loss 12-13 661.17 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
193 Hairy Otter Win 11-7 1172.07 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
298 The Leftovers** Win 13-5 600 Ignored Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
257 Derby City Thunder** Win 13-5 977.02 Ignored Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
174 Magic City Mayhem Win 13-8 1282.33 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
193 Hairy Otter Win 13-8 1201.34 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
89 FlyTrap Loss 8-11 835.1 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
27 Storm Loss 5-13 1053.05 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
159 Rowdy Loss 8-10 637.97 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
146 Too Much Fun Win 11-8 1298.47 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
89 FlyTrap Loss 12-14 979.75 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
181 Piedmont United Win 13-5 1370.41 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
265 ThunderCats** Win 12-5 924.61 Ignored Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
111 NC Galaxy Win 10-8 1387.51 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)