#24 Steamboat (21-4)

avg: 1650.58  •  sd: 84.63  •  top 16/20: 45.1%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
65 Northern Comfort Win 13-8 1759.26 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
21 Bucket Loss 7-12 1156.68 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Win 13-9 1706.63 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
68 JLP Win 12-6 1824.9 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
33 Hybrid Win 13-12 1671.4 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
40 Chalice Loss 12-13 1359.8 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
29 Alloy Loss 6-11 1075.92 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
29 Alloy Win 9-8 1747.61 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
27 Rally Win 13-8 2133.11 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
55 Sparkle Ponies Win 13-6 1941.29 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
57 Metro North Win 12-6 1908.32 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
21 Bucket Win 14-13 1802.2 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Win 15-6 1888.07 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
27 Rally Win 10-9 1761.96 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
286 Cleveland Rocks** Win 13-2 646.1 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
196 Petey's Scallywags** Win 13-2 1246.12 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
182 Rocket LawnChair Win 13-6 1313.72 Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
172 Thunderpants the Magic Dragon** Win 15-3 1357.9 Ignored Sep 7th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
74 Petey's Pirates Win 15-8 1794.69 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
63 Toast Win 15-5 1877.36 Sep 8th East Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
156 EMU** Win 13-4 1446 Ignored Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
147 Los Heros** Win 13-5 1473.22 Ignored Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again Win 13-7 1593.39 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
33 Hybrid Loss 8-12 1105.25 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
107 Shakedown Win 13-2 1692.86 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)