#168 ELevate (12-14)

avg: 780.15  •  sd: 68.29  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
290 Taco Cat** Win 13-2 511.82 Ignored Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
279 Identity Theft** Win 13-4 755.32 Ignored Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
183 Wildstyle Win 13-7 1269.87 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
152 Melt Loss 11-13 632.48 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
175 Prion Win 13-8 1237.49 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
183 Wildstyle Win 12-11 837.34 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
219 Great Minnesota Get Together Win 12-8 997.56 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
176 Mousetrap Loss 9-10 607.43 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
227 Midwestern Mediocrity Win 13-8 968.19 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
76 Mojo Jojo Loss 10-12 985.81 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
199 Jabba Loss 6-7 511.72 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
208 Pushovers-B Win 9-2 1202.17 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
217 Stackcats Win 10-4 1168.52 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
277 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack** Win 13-3 765.23 Ignored Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
175 Prion Win 13-6 1341.33 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again Loss 6-13 435.85 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 11-12 783.67 Sep 7th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
156 EMU Win 14-10 1244.7 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 6-15 308.67 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
147 Los Heros Loss 8-15 308.41 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
156 EMU Loss 13-14 721 Sep 8th Central Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails** Loss 5-12 1092.19 Ignored Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
107 Shakedown Loss 6-11 546.16 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
132 Liquid Hustle Loss 7-13 409.94 Sep 21st Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
154 Goose Lee Loss 11-12 732.12 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again Loss 7-14 452.97 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)