#174 Magic City Mayhem (11-17)

avg: 786.17  •  sd: 57.66  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
268 Orbit Win 13-11 526.88 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
105 Auburn HeyDay Loss 5-13 558.12 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
219 Memphis Hustle & Flow Loss 8-13 115.05 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
113 sKNO cone Loss 8-13 615.51 Jul 6th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
235 Mississippi Blues Win 13-6 1085.91 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
230 The Umbrella Win 13-6 1113.47 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
167 Possum Loss 2-13 236.1 Jul 7th Huntsville Huckfest 2019
164 BATL Cows Loss 9-11 607 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
130 m'kay Ultimate Loss 6-9 613.58 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
109 Shakedown Loss 9-13 723.35 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
99 Mutiny Win 12-11 1295.48 Jul 20th 2019 Club Terminus
164 BATL Cows Loss 8-9 731.2 Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
70 Memphis STAX Loss 7-13 743.99 Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
230 The Umbrella Loss 9-12 168.11 Jul 21st 2019 Club Terminus
119 Seoulmates Win 13-12 1214.54 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
193 Hairy Otter Win 13-6 1305.18 Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
298 The Leftovers** Win 13-1 600 Ignored Aug 17th Mudbowl 2019
162 OutKast Loss 7-10 483.24 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
225 Monster Win 13-11 811.74 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
119 Seoulmates Loss 8-13 593.38 Aug 18th Mudbowl 2019
105 Auburn HeyDay Loss 10-11 1033.12 Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
70 Memphis STAX Loss 5-13 701.52 Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
235 Mississippi Blues Win 12-7 1006.42 Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
219 Memphis Hustle & Flow Win 12-9 956.57 Sep 7th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
105 Auburn HeyDay Loss 8-12 716.96 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 7-13 915.89 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
235 Mississippi Blues Win 11-8 851.52 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
47 Huntsville Outlaws Loss 6-13 873.42 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)