#65 Northern Comfort (20-14)

avg: 1263.1  •  sd: 57.5  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
21 Bucket Loss 4-13 1077.2 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
24 Steamboat Loss 8-13 1154.42 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Loss 10-13 959.92 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
117 Bird Win 9-8 1181.38 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Win 11-9 1157.88 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
61 American Barbecue Loss 9-11 1049.15 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
107 Shakedown Win 11-8 1458.47 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
63 Toast Loss 9-13 858.79 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again Win 13-7 1593.39 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
137 Mad Udderburn Win 13-9 1346.12 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
111 PanIC Loss 11-13 839.13 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
107 Shakedown Win 13-6 1692.86 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
52 Woodwork Loss 9-13 978.66 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
33 Hybrid Loss 9-13 1127.84 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
111 PanIC Win 13-10 1396.11 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
112 Pandamonium Win 8-7 1192.1 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
63 Toast Loss 5-6 1152.36 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
121 Stripes Win 9-5 1571.93 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
111 PanIC Win 7-5 1396.11 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
208 Pushovers-B** Win 13-5 1202.17 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
295 Fox Valley Forge** Win 13-0 255.54 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
240 Duloofda** Win 13-3 1019.57 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
112 Pandamonium Loss 10-13 738.96 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
141 Point of No Return Win 11-9 1147.84 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
76 Mojo Jojo Win 12-5 1823.93 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
112 Pandamonium Win 12-6 1646.41 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Loss 7-12 991.25 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
143 Impact Win 13-10 1223.1 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
76 Mojo Jojo Win 11-9 1473.14 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
2 Drag'n Thrust** Loss 3-13 1436.65 Ignored Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
111 PanIC Win 13-7 1625.5 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
26 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 8-14 1105.93 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
52 Woodwork Win 13-11 1626.07 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Loss 10-15 1058.15 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)