#94 Tex Mix (21-10)

avg: 1153.03  •  sd: 93.65  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
215 Free Ride Win 12-6 1071.32 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
64 Sellout Win 12-8 1729.4 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
97 tHUMP Win 11-5 1739.88 Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
128 Boomtown Win 12-10 1215.86 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
118 Risky Business Win 12-6 1610.71 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
104 Shakedown Loss 10-12 862.44 Jul 1st Texas Two Finger 2018
215 Free Ride Win 10-8 754.68 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
159 Hellbenders Win 10-7 1200.4 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
128 Boomtown Win 12-7 1498.25 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 18
159 Hellbenders Win 15-3 1410.74 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
135 Blitzkrieg Win 15-6 1557.73 Jul 22nd The Royal Experience 18
248 Mixed on the Rock** Win 13-0 393.91 Ignored Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
215 Free Ride** Win 13-5 1092.01 Ignored Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
130 Impact Loss 11-13 739.99 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
135 Blitzkrieg Win 13-6 1557.73 Aug 11th Hootie on the Hill 2018
128 Boomtown Loss 12-13 852.74 Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
234 rubber duck ultimate.** Win 15-4 856.14 Ignored Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
115 STAX Win 13-9 1455.99 Aug 12th Hootie on the Hill 2018
216 Mud Turtles** Win 11-2 1085.18 Ignored Sep 8th Texas Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
204 Spring Creek Ascension Win 10-5 1120.43 Sep 8th Texas Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
64 Sellout Loss 5-11 688.24 Sep 8th Texas Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Tlacuaches Win 11-2 1490.9 Sep 9th Texas Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
118 Risky Business Loss 7-9 752.07 Sep 9th Texas Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
178 Balloon Win 11-4 1288.3 Sep 9th Texas Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
97 tHUMP Win 11-9 1389.09 Sep 9th Texas Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
76 All Jeeps, All Night Loss 10-13 925.22 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
10 shame. Loss 6-13 1244.73 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
64 Sellout Loss 3-13 688.24 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
116 Moontower Loss 13-15 821.87 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
128 Boomtown Win 15-9 1493.22 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
138 The Strangers Loss 14-15 814.56 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)