#122 Huntsville Outlaws (23-11)

avg: 1016.72  •  sd: 78.17  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
90 Mutiny Loss 10-12 927.56 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
103 Trash Pandas Win 10-9 1230.22 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
177 OutKast Win 13-5 1297.14 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
201 Mississippi Blues Win 13-6 1169.82 Jun 16th ATL Classic 2018
90 Mutiny Loss 9-11 916.48 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
151 LoveShack Win 13-10 1184.58 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
19 Bucket Loss 6-13 1105.23 Jun 17th ATL Classic 2018
238 Strictly Bidness** Win 13-2 787.41 Ignored Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
240 Memphis Hustle & Flow** Win 13-5 744.49 Ignored Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
84 'Shine Win 13-11 1450.3 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
201 Mississippi Blues Win 6-4 935.43 Jul 7th Huckfest 2018
82 Method Loss 9-10 1107.62 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
201 Mississippi Blues Loss 11-12 444.82 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
151 LoveShack Win 12-11 981.43 Jul 8th Huckfest 2018
205 Fifth Element Win 11-9 793.19 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
246 Taco Cat** Win 11-3 503.83 Ignored Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
- Spidermonkeys** Win 11-2 369.05 Ignored Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
222 I-79 Win 11-6 931.04 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
134 Petey's Pirates Win 11-9 1206.96 Jul 21st Bourbon Bash 2018
129 Moonshine Win 12-8 1412.72 Jul 22nd Bourbon Bash 2018
235 Skyhawks Win 12-7 765.02 Jul 22nd Bourbon Bash 2018
205 Fifth Element Win 9-6 962.55 Jul 22nd Bourbon Bash 2018
240 Memphis Hustle & Flow Win 13-8 640.65 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
82 Method Loss 11-12 1107.62 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
197 Magic City Mayhem Win 12-11 710.27 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
115 STAX Loss 9-13 618.86 Sep 8th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
201 Mississippi Blues Win 13-5 1169.82 Sep 9th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
197 Magic City Mayhem Win 12-9 930.64 Sep 9th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
115 STAX Win 12-10 1275.55 Sep 9th Gulf Coast Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
90 Mutiny Loss 11-13 936.84 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
15 Toro Loss 8-13 1264.48 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
41 Storm Loss 2-13 879.16 Sep 22nd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
56 Murmur Win 13-10 1649.31 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
63 Rowdy Loss 3-12 688.72 Sep 23rd Southeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)