#50 Cutthroat (24-10)

avg: 1416.57  •  sd: 73.2  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
22 MOONDOG Loss 10-13 1344.05 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
46 Mesteño Loss 7-11 977.39 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
114 Mixed Signals Win 10-8 1323.18 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
16 Love Tractor Loss 5-13 1127.51 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
59 Flight Club Win 15-7 1910.57 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
69 Instant Karma Win 11-8 1608.14 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
101 Buckwild Win 9-7 1392.58 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
104 Argo Win 11-10 1226.84 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
299 Delta Breeze** Win 13-2 600 Ignored Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
61 American Barbecue Win 9-8 1423.36 Jun 29th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
101 Buckwild Loss 12-13 988.25 Jun 30th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
61 American Barbecue Win 15-9 1813.84 Jun 30th Truckee River Ultimate Cooldown 2019
114 Mixed Signals Win 13-12 1185.51 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
104 Argo Win 13-9 1520.4 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
164 Wasatch Sasquatch** Win 13-5 1406.46 Ignored Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
66 Firefly Win 10-8 1519.95 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
88 Alchemy Win 13-6 1753.15 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
48 Pivot Win 12-10 1678.63 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
69 Instant Karma Loss 6-13 642.53 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
36 BW Ultimate Loss 9-12 1179.55 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
127 Platypi Loss 9-12 658.9 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
118 Absolute Zero Win 13-10 1382.33 Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
299 Delta Breeze** Win 13-4 600 Ignored Sep 7th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
88 Alchemy Win 11-6 1699.85 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
61 American Barbecue Win 11-9 1547.57 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
66 Firefly Win 12-8 1698.44 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
127 Platypi Win 12-8 1445.42 Sep 8th Nor Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
9 Blackbird Loss 8-13 1329.54 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
36 BW Ultimate Loss 9-13 1106.35 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
42 Classy Win 12-11 1587.69 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
69 Instant Karma Win 13-9 1661.1 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
48 Pivot Win 13-9 1859.08 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
17 Polar Bears Loss 9-12 1364.27 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
56 Rubix Win 13-10 1662.62 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)