#4 Mischief (19-10)

avg: 1956.21  •  sd: 59.08  •  top 16/20: 98.7%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
28 No Touching! Win 14-13 1756.52 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
2 Drag'n Thrust Loss 11-13 1807.81 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
11 Lochsa Win 12-6 2377.4 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
39 Birdfruit Win 10-7 1883.51 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Win 12-11 1817.19 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
2 Drag'n Thrust Loss 10-12 1798.53 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
6 shame. Loss 12-13 1803.01 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
1 Seattle Mixtape Loss 12-13 1946.41 Aug 2nd 2019 US Open Club Championship
3 AMP Win 15-10 2481.75 Aug 3rd 2019 US Open Club Championship
1 Seattle Mixtape Loss 10-14 1672.7 Aug 3rd 2019 US Open Club Championship
12 Snake Country Loss 10-13 1463.88 Aug 4th 2019 US Open Club Championship
19 Columbus Cocktails Win 13-9 2110.76 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
15 Loco Loss 10-13 1427.92 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
122 Nothing's Great Again** Win 15-5 1635.85 Ignored Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
31 NOISE Win 11-5 2188.38 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Win 9-8 1817.19 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
7 Wild Card Loss 7-8 1748.76 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
15 Loco Loss 10-11 1631.06 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
97 California Burrito** Win 13-5 1720.63 Ignored Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
42 Classy Win 12-11 1587.69 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
30 Lotus Win 13-4 2217.38 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
56 Rubix Win 13-8 1830.64 Sep 21st Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
9 Blackbird Win 13-11 2054.54 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
3 AMP Win 14-12 2249.1 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
12 Snake Country Win 14-10 2190.73 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
22 MOONDOG Win 12-10 1910.31 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-8 2257 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
2 Drag'n Thrust Win 15-10 2490.25 Oct 26th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
3 AMP Loss 9-15 1512.67 Oct 27th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)