#129 Moontower (22-12)

avg: 988.19  •  sd: 53.29  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
283 Craw Daddies** Win 15-4 701.37 Ignored Jun 15th Texas Two Finger 2019
281 Alpha** Win 15-2 740.49 Ignored Jun 15th Texas Two Finger 2019
159 Tex Mix Win 12-11 961.22 Jun 15th Texas Two Finger 2019
224 Mud Turtles Win 15-2 1127.86 Jul 13th Riverside Classic 2019
262 Balloon** Win 15-6 878.14 Ignored Jul 13th Riverside Classic 2019
292 Mixfits** Win 15-0 432.33 Ignored Jul 13th Riverside Classic 2019
81 Bexar Win 13-12 1319.58 Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
214 Chili Poppers Win 15-3 1180.52 Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
281 Alpha** Win 15-1 740.49 Ignored Jul 14th Riverside Classic 2019
113 blOKC party Win 15-10 1520.29 Jul 27th PBJ 2019
214 Chili Poppers Win 15-9 1096 Jul 27th PBJ 2019
262 Balloon** Win 15-0 878.14 Ignored Jul 27th PBJ 2019
224 Mud Turtles Win 15-4 1127.86 Jul 28th PBJ 2019
45 Waterloo Loss 10-15 993.97 Jul 28th PBJ 2019
126 Risky Business Win 15-10 1463.85 Jul 28th PBJ 2019
97 California Burrito Loss 11-12 995.63 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
64 Donuts Win 12-11 1397.77 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
135 Springs Mixed Ulty Team Win 13-12 1078.79 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
243 Rogue Win 13-4 1010.15 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
88 Alchemy Loss 8-12 712 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
69 Instant Karma Loss 7-13 685 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
81 Bexar Loss 10-13 866.43 Sep 7th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
281 Alpha** Win 13-3 740.49 Ignored Sep 7th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
229 Tlacuaches Win 13-4 1066.65 Sep 7th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
126 Risky Business Loss 9-11 761.04 Sep 7th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
183 Wildstyle Win 11-6 1259.03 Sep 8th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
159 Tex Mix Win 10-7 1225.89 Sep 8th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
126 Risky Business Loss 7-10 620.58 Sep 8th Texas Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
53 Boomtown Loss 4-13 745.13 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
59 Flight Club Loss 8-15 745.76 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
45 Waterloo Loss 4-13 847.57 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
135 Springs Mixed Ulty Team Win 11-10 1078.79 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
148 Sweet Action Loss 9-10 746.05 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
99 Ouzel Loss 9-12 772.82 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)