#125 Hive (11-11)

avg: 1020.76  •  sd: 52.26  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
79 Pegasus Loss 10-11 1074.59 Jun 29th Rose City Rumble 2019
161 Breakers Mark Win 11-8 1193.14 Jun 29th Rose City Rumble 2019
276 SkyLab Win 15-8 753.26 Jun 29th Rose City Rumble 2019
146 Igneous Ultimate Win 12-11 1009.28 Jun 29th Rose City Rumble 2019
151 Fable Win 14-9 1335.73 Aug 3rd Kleinman Eruption 2019
239 Midnight Whiskey Win 15-7 1029.78 Aug 3rd Kleinman Eruption 2019
37 Garage Sale Loss 7-10 1131.5 Aug 3rd Kleinman Eruption 2019
146 Igneous Ultimate Win 14-10 1282.98 Aug 3rd Kleinman Eruption 2019
67 The Administrators Loss 7-15 655.18 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2019
64 Donuts Loss 7-9 993.43 Aug 4th Kleinman Eruption 2019
244 Natural Twenties** Win 13-3 1007.71 Ignored Sep 7th Oregon Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
67 The Administrators Loss 7-9 975.85 Sep 7th Oregon Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
276 SkyLab** Win 13-5 788.46 Ignored Sep 7th Oregon Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
157 Choco Ghost House Loss 8-9 718.38 Sep 7th Oregon Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
146 Igneous Ultimate Win 12-10 1122.4 Sep 8th Oregon Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
161 Breakers Mark Loss 11-14 514.19 Sep 8th Oregon Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
5 BFG Loss 9-13 1536.58 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
39 Birdfruit Loss 4-13 893.84 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
157 Choco Ghost House Loss 12-13 718.38 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
67 The Administrators Loss 10-15 801.58 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
157 Choco Ghost House Win 15-6 1443.38 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
108 Surge Win 11-10 1208.98 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)