#29 Alloy (22-14)

avg: 1622.61  •  sd: 58.45  •  top 16/20: 8.5%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
3 AMP Loss 7-13 1470.62 Jun 9th AMP Invite 2019
27 Rally Win 10-9 1761.96 Jun 9th AMP Invite 2019
10 Space Heater Loss 7-12 1295.92 Jun 9th AMP Invite 2019
41 Jughandle Loss 9-11 1214.63 Jun 9th AMP Invite 2019
77 Ant Madness Win 13-5 1821.61 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
54 Malice in Wonderland Win 13-4 1942.03 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
32 Storm Win 13-6 2161.32 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
43 Murmur Loss 11-12 1336.98 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Win 11-10 1413.07 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
20 Weird Loss 9-11 1432.24 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
15 Loco Loss 6-9 1337.5 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
33 Hybrid Loss 10-12 1308.28 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
61 American Barbecue Win 13-7 1855.89 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
26 The Chad Larson Experience Loss 5-13 1041.97 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
32 Storm Win 12-11 1686.32 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Loss 12-13 1567.19 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
7 Wild Card Win 13-12 1998.76 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
24 Steamboat Win 11-6 2197.28 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
57 Metro North Win 13-6 1929.01 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
24 Steamboat Loss 8-9 1525.58 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
55 Sparkle Ponies Win 12-9 1686.66 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
27 Rally Win 12-10 1875.08 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
21 Bucket Loss 8-15 1112.39 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
32 Storm Win 13-8 2057.48 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
265 I-79** Win 13-2 862.95 Ignored Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
115 Stoke Win 13-7 1617.65 Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
131 Farm Show Win 15-8 1538.64 Sep 7th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
92 The Bandits Win 14-6 1734.35 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
15 Loco Loss 10-12 1517.94 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
115 Stoke Win 15-7 1660.12 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
90 Blowing Heat 3.0 Win 13-7 1695.9 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
89 HVAC Win 13-4 1752.46 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
27 Rally Loss 11-13 1408.11 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
115 Stoke Win 15-8 1624.93 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
77 Ant Madness Win 15-6 1821.61 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
15 Loco Loss 9-15 1240.58 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)