#66 Flight Club (15-11)

avg: 1333.31  •  sd: 70.97  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
60 Rubix Loss 5-13 764.9 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
8 shame. Loss 7-13 1369.06 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
42 Woodwork Loss 9-10 1404.81 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
69 Instant Karma Loss 8-9 1181.3 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
54 Cutthroat Loss 7-15 829.81 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
134 Mixed Signals Win 13-6 1613.23 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
48 Classy Loss 11-13 1237.51 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
23 Rally Win 13-10 2039.48 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
56 Grand Army Loss 7-14 818.98 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
41 BW Ultimate Win 11-10 1664.26 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
48 Classy Win 11-9 1715.55 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
64 The Administrators Win 12-11 1469.95 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
84 Ouzel Win 10-8 1497.44 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
102 Family Style Win 11-9 1416.77 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
69 Instant Karma Loss 5-11 706.3 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
189 The Strangers Win 11-10 845.83 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
108 Argo Loss 7-11 675.03 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
59 Donuts Loss 9-11 1134.66 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
220 All Jeeps, All Night. Win 11-5 1206.44 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
158 Sweet Action Win 10-5 1477.24 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
52 Mesteño Win 11-9 1690.96 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
79 Vendetta Win 8-7 1382.35 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
128 Springs Mixed Ulty Team Win 11-3 1640.35 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
84 Ouzel Win 11-6 1781.47 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
84 Ouzel Win 11-8 1600.39 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
14 Love Tractor Loss 6-11 1279.61 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)