#171 Mousetrap (16-11)

avg: 799.55  •  sd: 61.23  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
226 Boomtown Pandas Loss 10-11 446.61 Jul 20th Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
244 Madison United Mixed Ultimate Win 8-4 1026.59 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
240 Duloofda Loss 9-11 222.22 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
218 Great Minnesota Get Together Win 10-6 1108.48 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
294 MUTT** Win 12-1 343.34 Ignored Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
122 Pandamonium Loss 8-11 716.11 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
93 PanIC Loss 10-13 856.55 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
160 EMU Loss 10-13 566.77 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
295 Fox Valley Forge** Win 13-0 308.97 Ignored Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
279 Identity Theft Win 13-4 809.93 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
192 Jabba Win 13-8 1204.52 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
251 Mishigami Loss 7-11 -50.7 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
156 ELevate Win 10-9 1037.98 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
218 Great Minnesota Get Together Win 12-9 957.69 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
154 Melt Loss 11-13 684.96 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
141 Mad Udderburn Win 8-6 1268.87 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
240 Duloofda Win 8-6 771.92 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
160 EMU Win 10-9 1019.92 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
172 Prion Loss 7-10 409.48 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
244 Madison United Mixed Ultimate Win 11-9 710.99 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
279 Identity Theft Win 13-4 809.93 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
147 Point of No Return Loss 10-13 604.58 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
51 Minnesota Star Power Loss 8-13 962.87 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
141 Mad Udderburn Loss 3-13 368.38 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
147 Point of No Return Win 11-9 1181.93 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
209 Pushovers-B Win 11-7 1126.32 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
154 Melt Win 10-9 1038.8 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)