#133 Townies (14-15)

avg: 961.15  •  sd: 55.21  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
218 Equinox Win 13-8 941.93 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
53 Darkwing Loss 6-10 838.11 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
107 Sunken Circus Loss 6-11 530.82 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
220 Bees Win 13-5 1003.91 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
150 Scarecrow Win 13-9 1285.97 Jul 8th AntlerLock 2018
148 WHUF* Win 15-9 1395.66 Jul 8th AntlerLock 2018
102 Titan NE Loss 11-13 878.12 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
33 League of Shadows Loss 9-15 1020.47 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
237 Turnstyle** Win 15-4 805.28 Ignored Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
209 DTH Win 15-4 1131.17 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
189 DTX Win 15-5 1241.04 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
33 League of Shadows Loss 4-15 935.95 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
73 Chaotic Good Loss 7-15 665.65 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
139 Nautilus Loss 10-13 587.75 Aug 18th Chowdafest 2018
180 HAOS Win 13-6 1279.94 Aug 18th Chowdafest 2018
181 RIMIX Win 13-7 1229.89 Aug 18th Chowdafest 2018
206 Varsity Win 11-7 1009.59 Aug 19th Chowdafest 2018
53 Darkwing Loss 11-13 1105.43 Aug 19th Chowdafest 2018
124 Albany Airbenders Loss 10-11 887.1 Aug 19th Chowdafest 2018
113 The Bandits Loss 7-13 485.96 Aug 19th Chowdafest 2018
92 Garbage Plates Loss 16-17 1038.36 Aug 25th Sectional Sanction Upstate NY 2018
171 North Coast Loss 11-14 437.38 Aug 25th Sectional Sanction Upstate NY 2018
114 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 13-12 1166.74 Aug 25th Sectional Sanction Upstate NY 2018
203 Zen Win 12-9 896.06 Sep 8th Upstate New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
242 Buffalo Brain Freeze** Win 13-3 670.2 Ignored Sep 8th Upstate New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
32 UNION Loss 6-13 940.8 Sep 8th Upstate New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
114 Buffalo Lake Effect Loss 10-11 916.74 Sep 8th Upstate New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
92 Garbage Plates Win 8-6 1463.85 Sep 9th Upstate New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
124 Albany Airbenders Loss 8-10 749.44 Sep 9th Upstate New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)