#44 Pivot (19-5)

avg: 1500.13  •  sd: 70.12  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
67 American Barbecue Win 11-8 1695.02 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
59 Donuts Win 10-7 1773.53 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
102 Family Style Win 11-10 1292.56 Jul 20th Revolution 2019
116 Absolute Zero Win 12-6 1684.14 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
48 Classy Loss 4-11 866.35 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
29 Lotus Win 11-8 2008.69 Jul 21st Revolution 2019
198 Birds of Paradise Win 15-9 1213.74 Aug 3rd 4th Annual Coconino Classic 2019
69 Instant Karma Win 15-5 1906.3 Aug 3rd 4th Annual Coconino Classic 2019
246 Rogue** Win 15-1 1053.95 Ignored Aug 3rd 4th Annual Coconino Classic 2019
143 Superstition Win 15-11 1331.45 Aug 4th 4th Annual Coconino Classic 2019
60 Rubix Win 8-3 1964.9 Aug 4th 4th Annual Coconino Classic 2019
116 Absolute Zero Win 13-6 1704.82 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
80 Alchemy Win 12-9 1598.84 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
239 Fear and Loathing** Win 13-1 1078.37 Ignored Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
158 Sweet Action Win 13-3 1503.34 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
108 Argo Win 12-7 1662.43 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
54 Cutthroat Loss 10-12 1191.69 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
59 Donuts Loss 9-11 1134.66 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
106 California Burrito Win 13-6 1748.22 Sep 7th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
239 Fear and Loathing** Win 15-2 1078.37 Ignored Sep 7th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
143 Superstition Loss 14-15 825.28 Sep 7th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
29 Lotus Loss 8-11 1277.47 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
102 Family Style Win 12-7 1688.07 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
101 Robot Win 13-8 1664.09 Sep 8th So Cal Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)