#20 No Touching! (14-16)

avg: 1681.38  •  sd: 65.84  •  top 16/20: 64.5%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
22 XIST Win 12-11 1743.05 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
3 Drag'n Thrust Loss 10-13 1690.09 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
36 Steamboat Win 13-7 2062.93 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
29 7 Figures Loss 12-14 1339.42 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
31 Metro North Win 11-8 1921.93 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
13 Birdfruit Loss 12-13 1654.29 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
26 Alloy Win 13-7 2146.89 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
19 Bucket Win 13-7 2262.76 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
33 League of Shadows Win 13-5 2135.95 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
17 Polar Bears Loss 13-14 1614.68 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
7 Blackbird Loss 11-13 1662.84 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
22 XIST Loss 12-13 1493.05 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
31 Metro North Win 15-12 1856.81 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
4 BFG Win 11-9 2229.1 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
9 Wild Card Loss 8-15 1308.84 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
3 Drag'n Thrust Loss 5-15 1418.23 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
4 BFG Loss 11-15 1598.73 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
159 Hellbenders** Win 13-5 1410.74 Ignored Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
70 Chalice Win 13-8 1772.79 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
39 Minnesota Star Power Loss 12-13 1374.53 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
16 NOISE Win 11-9 1992.39 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
3 Drag'n Thrust Loss 7-13 1460.7 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
16 NOISE Win 13-7 2300.71 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
15 Toro Win 13-12 1885.64 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
1 AMP Loss 6-15 1553.89 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
7 Blackbird Loss 9-15 1376.19 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
15 Toro Loss 10-15 1307.03 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-14 1625.3 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
4 BFG Loss 8-15 1415.09 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
11 Slow White Loss 9-15 1311.82 Oct 20th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)