#83 Birds (21-12)

avg: 1225.54  •  sd: 65.29  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
114 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 12-8 1482.89 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
30 Jughandle Loss 9-15 1041.87 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
163 Stoke Win 15-12 1097.1 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
117 The Process Win 15-11 1413.55 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
141 Powermove Loss 9-11 644.31 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
66 The Feminists Win 11-10 1408.56 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
113 The Bandits Loss 8-12 602.34 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
206 Varsity Win 10-7 932.36 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
156 Heavy Flow Win 9-4 1439.56 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
232 Baltimore BENCH** Win 13-4 889.24 Ignored Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
224 Stormborn Win 13-6 957.45 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
158 Philly Twist Win 12-7 1335.62 Aug 12th Philly Open 2018
99 Legion Win 13-4 1715.26 Aug 12th Philly Open 2018
117 The Process Win 11-10 1157.39 Aug 12th Philly Open 2018
127 Funk Win 11-9 1230.09 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
50 Grand Army Loss 14-15 1244.68 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
132 HVAC Win 13-11 1191.37 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
108 Alt Stacks Loss 9-12 732.13 Aug 25th The Incident 2018
127 Funk Win 15-7 1580.88 Aug 26th The Incident 2018
108 Alt Stacks Win 14-9 1551.36 Aug 26th The Incident 2018
158 Philly Twist Win 14-7 1397.99 Aug 26th The Incident 2018
22 XIST Loss 8-13 1121.89 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
237 Turnstyle** Win 13-3 805.28 Ignored Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
108 Alt Stacks Win 13-10 1405.63 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
127 Funk Win 12-6 1560.19 Sep 9th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
127 Funk Win 13-7 1538.41 Sep 9th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
66 The Feminists Loss 8-13 787.4 Sep 9th Metro New York Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
53 Darkwing Loss 9-12 988.9 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
33 League of Shadows Loss 10-11 1410.95 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
11 Slow White** Loss 1-15 1227.3 Ignored Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
92 Garbage Plates Loss 11-12 1038.36 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
53 Darkwing Loss 10-14 935.56 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
107 Sunken Circus Win 12-7 1598.03 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)