#195 Rainbow (9-16)

avg: 595.18  •  sd: 67.04  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
- VIP Club** Loss 2-13 607.58 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
58 Happy Valley Loss 9-12 966.05 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
242 Buffalo Brain Freeze Win 13-5 670.2 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
148 WHUF* Loss 6-12 300.87 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
154 Default Loss 9-15 331.65 Jul 8th AntlerLock 2018
218 Equinox Win 15-12 746.27 Jul 8th AntlerLock 2018
102 Titan NE Loss 6-13 506.96 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
124 Albany Airbenders Win 12-11 1137.1 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
241 Dead Reckoning Win 13-9 554.9 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
150 Scarecrow Loss 11-13 638.56 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
218 Equinox Win 13-7 1003.31 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
214 Face Off Win 10-6 989.22 Jul 22nd Vacationland 2018
148 WHUF* Loss 5-15 280.18 Jul 22nd Vacationland 2018
73 Chaotic Good** Loss 5-15 665.65 Ignored Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
209 DTH Win 15-11 912.33 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
181 RIMIX Loss 7-14 89.48 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
164 Enough Monkeys Loss 5-15 195.85 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
102 Titan NE Loss 9-15 591.48 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
214 Face Off Win 15-9 1008.54 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
164 Enough Monkeys Loss 6-9 377.29 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
180 HAOS Loss 14-15 554.94 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
102 Titan NE Loss 5-15 506.96 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
53 Darkwing** Loss 4-15 734.27 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
209 DTH Loss 10-13 203.02 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
241 Dead Reckoning Win 15-5 736.33 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)