#57 8 Bit Heroes (11-16)

avg: 1391.87  •  sd: 57.99  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
16 Weird Loss 8-10 1534.13 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
18 Columbus Cocktails Loss 8-13 1266.45 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
89 FlyTrap Loss 8-13 704.55 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
103 Tyrannis Win 12-11 1285.03 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
25 Alloy Loss 10-11 1584.76 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
62 JLP Loss 11-13 1122.17 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
159 Rowdy Win 13-6 1500.64 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
71 Northern Comfort Win 13-10 1610.9 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
17 Steamboat Loss 9-13 1358.69 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
21 Bucket Loss 5-13 1123.21 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
42 Woodwork Loss 13-14 1404.81 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
27 Storm Loss 10-13 1324.9 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
62 JLP Win 13-10 1679.15 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
21 Bucket Loss 10-13 1395.07 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
56 Grand Army Win 12-8 1843.02 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
27 Storm Loss 4-13 1053.05 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
35 League of Shadows Loss 10-11 1438.4 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
68 Metro North Win 13-11 1544.08 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
17 Steamboat Loss 6-15 1177.25 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
35 League of Shadows Loss 7-13 1005.86 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
191 LORD** Win 13-2 1313.9 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
273 WhirlyNegs** Win 13-1 853.79 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
216 Espionage** Win 13-5 1218.95 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
72 Ant Madness Win 13-6 1876.3 Sep 7th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
46 Sparkle Ponies Win 12-8 1931.37 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
23 Rally Loss 9-12 1365.97 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
46 Sparkle Ponies Loss 7-13 932.68 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)