#31 NOISE (15-10)

avg: 1588.38  •  sd: 48.74  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
6 shame. Loss 7-13 1370.48 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
5 BFG Loss 10-13 1627 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
8 Slow White Loss 7-13 1272.92 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
41 Jughandle Win 13-10 1791.98 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
11 Lochsa Loss 8-10 1535.42 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
39 Birdfruit Win 11-10 1618.84 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
8 Slow White Loss 11-13 1601.61 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
17 Polar Bears Loss 10-12 1471.51 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
41 Jughandle Win 12-11 1588.84 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
4 Mischief Loss 5-11 1356.21 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
16 Love Tractor Win 8-7 1852.51 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
17 Polar Bears Loss 6-8 1409.14 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
137 Mad Udderburn** Win 13-2 1527.56 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
245 Dinosaur Fancy** Win 13-1 987.22 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
219 Great Minnesota Get Together** Win 13-1 1156.41 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
152 Melt Win 13-7 1418.85 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
76 Mojo Jojo Win 12-8 1665.09 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Win 11-9 1760.96 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
28 No Touching! Loss 7-13 1073.99 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
176 Mousetrap** Win 13-3 1332.43 Ignored Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
111 PanIC Win 13-10 1396.11 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
76 Mojo Jojo Win 13-7 1781.46 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
52 Woodwork Win 15-4 1997.23 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
26 The Chad Larson Experience Win 13-11 1870.81 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
2 Drag'n Thrust Loss 9-12 1691.28 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)