#117 Bird (16-16)

avg: 1056.38  •  sd: 52.26  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
112 Pandamonium Win 10-9 1192.1 Jul 20th Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
234 MN Superior Win 13-8 946.1 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
208 Pushovers-B Win 10-9 727.17 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
141 Point of No Return Loss 11-12 773.63 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
112 Pandamonium Loss 7-8 942.1 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
65 Northern Comfort Loss 8-9 1138.1 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
32 Storm Loss 5-13 961.32 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails** Loss 4-13 1092.19 Ignored Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
40 Chalice Loss 7-13 927.27 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
61 American Barbecue Loss 9-13 879.8 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 8-10 646.01 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
290 Taco Cat** Win 13-1 511.82 Ignored Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
182 Rocket LawnChair Win 13-3 1313.72 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
137 Mad Udderburn Win 13-8 1423.72 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
111 PanIC Loss 7-11 601.07 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
175 Prion Win 11-2 1341.33 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
112 Pandamonium Loss 7-8 942.1 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
107 Shakedown Loss 5-6 967.86 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
288 Mufanauts** Win 13-2 620.33 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
211 Mastodon Win 13-5 1188.66 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
225 Boomtown Pandas Win 12-7 1040.03 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
76 Mojo Jojo Loss 5-13 623.93 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
152 Melt Win 13-8 1357.48 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
112 Pandamonium Loss 10-13 738.96 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
76 Mojo Jojo Loss 8-13 727.77 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
137 Mad Udderburn Win 13-10 1255.7 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Loss 6-13 911.76 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
26 The Chad Larson Experience Win 13-11 1870.81 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
112 Pandamonium Loss 11-13 838.26 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
176 Mousetrap Win 10-8 995.09 Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
137 Mad Udderburn Win 15-10 1381.16 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
143 Impact Win 15-9 1410.44 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)