#129 Bird (12-14)

avg: 1035.56  •  sd: 52.26  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
122 Pandamonium Win 10-9 1206.72 Jul 20th Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
122 Pandamonium Loss 7-8 956.72 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
238 MN Superior Win 13-8 977.02 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
209 Pushovers-B Win 10-9 784.42 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
147 Point of No Return Loss 11-12 807.72 Jul 21st Minnesota Ultimate Disc Invitational
71 Northern Comfort Loss 8-9 1157.76 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
27 Storm** Loss 5-13 1053.05 Ignored Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
18 Columbus Cocktails** Loss 4-13 1162.6 Ignored Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
22 Chalice Loss 7-13 1159.6 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
67 American Barbecue Loss 9-13 910.85 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 8-10 722.73 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
93 PanIC Loss 7-11 717.8 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
289 Taco Cat** Win 13-1 567.09 Ignored Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
182 Rocket LawnChair Win 13-3 1369.7 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
141 Mad Udderburn Win 13-8 1464.54 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
122 Pandamonium Loss 7-8 956.72 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
172 Prion Win 11-2 1399.14 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
109 Shakedown Loss 5-6 1016.92 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
213 Mastodon Win 13-5 1245.52 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
226 Boomtown Pandas Win 12-7 1092.12 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
287 Mufanauts** Win 13-2 672.25 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
92 Mojo Jojo Loss 5-13 593.15 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
122 Pandamonium Loss 10-13 753.58 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
154 Melt Win 13-8 1409.96 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
92 Mojo Jojo Loss 8-13 696.99 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
141 Mad Udderburn Win 13-10 1296.52 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)