#73 Chaotic Good (18-10)

avg: 1265.65  •  sd: 65.51  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
92 Garbage Plates Win 12-9 1508.72 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
- Philadelphia Forge** Win 15-1 667.18 Ignored Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
141 Powermove Win 13-7 1451.05 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
157 Sabotage Win 15-7 1419.7 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
50 Grand Army Win 14-5 1969.68 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
59 Distelfink Win 13-9 1719.28 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
30 Jughandle Loss 8-12 1116.2 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
237 Turnstyle** Win 15-3 805.28 Ignored Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
195 Rainbow** Win 15-5 1195.18 Ignored Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
209 DTH** Win 15-2 1131.17 Ignored Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
33 League of Shadows Loss 11-14 1222.62 Aug 4th White Mountain Mixed 2018
102 Titan NE Loss 12-14 886.01 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
133 Townies Win 15-7 1561.15 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
164 Enough Monkeys Win 15-11 1177.02 Aug 5th White Mountain Mixed 2018
49 Cosa Nostra Loss 7-10 982.12 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
31 Metro North Loss 5-13 956.32 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
30 Jughandle Loss 6-12 978.04 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
104 Shakedown Win 10-9 1225.57 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
27 Weird Loss 7-9 1298.51 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Win 11-10 1302.43 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
180 HAOS Win 15-5 1279.94 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
102 Titan NE Win 15-3 1706.96 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
214 Face Off** Win 15-2 1093.06 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
107 Sunken Circus Win 15-6 1677.52 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
180 HAOS Win 12-4 1279.94 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
102 Titan NE Loss 10-15 653.36 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
6 Snake Country** Loss 5-15 1342.98 Ignored Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
107 Sunken Circus Loss 11-13 848.68 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)