#28 Mesteño (16-12)

avg: 1562.54  •  sd: 69.78  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
51 Cutthroat Win 13-5 1957.69 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
10 shame. Win 10-9 1969.73 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 6-13 1163.72 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
89 Sweet Action Win 13-2 1769.03 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
40 Five One Two Loss 12-15 1184.8 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
69 Mental Toss Flycoons Win 15-12 1579.98 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
8 Love Tractor Loss 12-15 1578.67 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
49 Cosa Nostra Win 13-7 1929.32 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
77 Tequila Mockingbird Win 10-5 1826.79 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
13 Birdfruit Loss 8-14 1243.26 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
32 UNION Loss 7-12 1020.29 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
19 Bucket Loss 7-12 1184.72 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
14 Lochsa Loss 6-9 1345.15 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
16 NOISE Loss 11-13 1514.34 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
10 shame. Loss 9-13 1426.16 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
7 Blackbird Loss 6-13 1291.68 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Win 13-9 1918.86 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
36 Steamboat Loss 5-13 905.39 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
76 All Jeeps, All Night Win 14-10 1652.06 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
138 The Strangers Win 15-7 1539.56 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
- Eggshells Win 15-8 1530.53 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
43 Flight Club Win 13-12 1598.13 Sep 9th Rocky Mountain Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
40 Five One Two Win 13-7 2042.82 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
118 Risky Business Win 13-4 1631.4 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
138 The Strangers Win 13-10 1267.7 Sep 22nd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
21 Public Enemy Win 13-7 2233.18 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
89 Sweet Action Win 15-6 1769.03 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
8 Love Tractor Loss 9-15 1363.68 Sep 23rd South Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)