#217 Mastodon (8-17)

avg: 483.04  •  sd: 60.01  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
149 Crucible Loss 10-11 754.71 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
208 Bonfire Loss 9-11 285.49 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
77 Tequila Mockingbird** Loss 3-11 652.9 Ignored Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
140 Rocket LawnChair Loss 8-9 770.66 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
- Sabers Win 11-8 428.45 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2018
186 Jabba Loss 9-11 400.99 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
223 Petey's Scallywags Loss 14-15 235.69 Jul 8th Motown Throwdown 2018
112 Mojo Jojo Loss 7-13 504.86 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
184 Mousetrap Loss 11-12 533.08 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
137 ELevate Loss 6-13 341.87 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
246 Taco Cat Win 13-6 503.83 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
185 Boomtown Pandas Loss 6-13 50.51 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
211 Stackcats Win 9-8 643.98 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
146 Prion Loss 5-13 285.02 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
229 Pushovers-C Win 13-10 646.41 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
160 Mad Udderburn Loss 10-11 677.17 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
166 Spirit Fowl Loss 8-13 291.52 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
184 Mousetrap Loss 9-15 142.59 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
249 LudICRous** Win 15-5 379.2 Ignored Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
228 Mixed Duluth Win 15-8 893.08 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
72 Bird** Loss 5-13 666.31 Ignored Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
145 Pandamonium Loss 7-10 495.72 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
228 Mixed Duluth Loss 10-11 203.27 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
202 Great Minnesota Get Together Win 13-12 678.8 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
233 ALTimate Brews Win 8-2 888.36 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)