#5 Space Heater (22-6)

avg: 1962.94  •  sd: 93.48  •  top 16/20: 58.7%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
26 Alloy Win 15-8 2154.16 Jun 16th Amp Invite 2018
1 AMP Win 15-13 2368.06 Jun 16th Amp Invite 2018
24 Rally Win 14-9 2084.98 Jun 16th Amp Invite 2018
30 Jughandle Win 13-11 1786.19 Jun 16th Amp Invite 2018
27 Weird Win 11-7 2044.74 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
32 UNION Loss 11-12 1415.8 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
66 The Feminists** Win 13-5 1883.56 Ignored Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
6 Snake Country Loss 8-13 1446.82 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
49 Cosa Nostra Win 13-6 1971.79 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
18 Loco Loss 10-13 1406.26 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
126 American Hyperbole** Win 13-1 1582.26 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
207 District Cocktails** Win 13-1 1135.79 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
144 Rat City** Win 13-4 1490.57 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
173 Fake Newport News** Win 13-4 1341.57 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes** Win 15-1 1843.22 Ignored Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
24 Rally Win 13-5 2211.11 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
30 Jughandle Win 13-8 2053.51 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
99 Legion Win 13-7 1672.79 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
18 Loco Win 13-2 2334.4 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
117 The Process** Win 13-1 1632.39 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes** Win 15-5 1843.22 Ignored Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
26 Alloy Win 13-11 1818.19 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
1 AMP Loss 9-13 1735.32 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
12 Mischief Loss 13-14 1659.35 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
30 Jughandle Win 15-7 2157.35 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
2 Seattle Mixtape Win 15-9 2537.11 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
4 BFG Win 13-12 2104.89 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
1 AMP Loss 14-15 2028.89 Oct 20th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)