#99 Ouzel (15-10)

avg: 1118.19  •  sd: 60.91  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
167 Hellbenders Win 12-8 1237.27 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
73 7 Sins Win 11-10 1354.91 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
143 Impact Win 14-11 1208.29 Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
256 Robotic Snakes** Win 15-6 918.62 Ignored Jul 20th The Royal Experience 2019
73 7 Sins Win 12-10 1468.03 Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
256 Robotic Snakes** Win 15-3 918.62 Ignored Jul 21st The Royal Experience 2019
98 Family Style Loss 9-11 869.11 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
59 Flight Club Loss 8-10 1047.9 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
69 Instant Karma Win 11-10 1367.53 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
188 The Strangers Win 13-7 1231.29 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
97 California Burrito Loss 8-12 679.48 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
164 Wasatch Sasquatch Win 13-6 1406.46 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
16 Love Tractor Loss 9-11 1478.3 Sep 6th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
238 EDM** Win 11-1 1030.19 Ignored Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
114 Mixed Signals Win 10-9 1185.51 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
188 The Strangers Win 11-4 1273.76 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
59 Flight Club Loss 6-11 763.87 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
59 Flight Club Loss 8-11 944.96 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
46 Mesteño Win 8-7 1569.29 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
81 Bexar Loss 9-13 776.01 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
16 Love Tractor Loss 7-13 1169.98 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
46 Mesteño Loss 5-15 844.29 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
159 Tex Mix Win 13-10 1164.36 Sep 21st South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
114 Mixed Signals Loss 8-12 619.36 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
129 Moontower Win 12-9 1333.55 Sep 22nd South Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)