#211 Mastodon (14-13)

avg: 588.66  •  sd: 44  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
156 EMU Loss 8-10 583.34 Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
63 Toast** Loss 1-11 677.36 Ignored Jul 6th Motown Throwdown 2019
290 Taco Cat** Win 13-4 511.82 Ignored Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
249 Skyhawks Win 10-6 872.9 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
264 SlipStream Win 10-9 393.91 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
282 Sabers Win 11-5 709.75 Jul 7th Motown Throwdown 2019
152 Melt Loss 8-13 365.16 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
217 Stackcats Loss 7-13 10.99 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
250 Mishigami Win 9-8 488.42 Aug 3rd Heavyweights 2019
156 EMU Loss 9-13 427.44 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
112 Pandamonium Loss 10-13 738.96 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
227 Midwestern Mediocrity Win 12-7 992.54 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2019
240 Duloofda Win 13-8 915.73 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
107 Shakedown Loss 9-13 674.29 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
141 Point of No Return Loss 7-13 341.1 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
217 Stackcats Loss 11-12 443.52 Aug 17th Cooler Classic 31
219 Great Minnesota Get Together Win 9-7 835.74 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
225 Boomtown Pandas Win 8-6 820.01 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
295 Fox Valley Forge** Win 11-2 255.54 Ignored Aug 18th Cooler Classic 31
288 Mufanauts Win 11-7 487.23 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
117 Bird Loss 5-13 456.38 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
225 Boomtown Pandas Win 11-10 644.51 Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
76 Mojo Jojo** Loss 4-13 623.93 Ignored Sep 7th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
137 Mad Udderburn Loss 12-14 706.6 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
208 Pushovers-B Win 12-11 727.17 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
- 2Spooky Loss 9-11 354.36 Oct 5th 2019 Fall Dick and Jane
241 Madison United Mixed Ultimate Win 10-8 681.6 Oct 5th 2019 Fall Dick and Jane
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)