#44 Grand Army (14-12)

avg: 1461.45  •  sd: 68.71  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
14 Public Enemy Loss 9-15 1244.43 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Win 13-12 1636.76 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
59 Flight Club Win 14-7 1893.46 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
46 Mesteño Loss 8-13 948.13 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
57 Metro North Win 10-9 1454.01 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
25 Lights Out Loss 8-11 1278.18 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
49 League of Shadows Loss 10-13 1109.57 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
32 Storm Loss 10-12 1323.2 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
62 8 Bit Heroes Loss 8-12 846.91 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
21 Bucket Loss 8-13 1181.04 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
55 Sparkle Ponies Loss 12-14 1120.33 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
71 Chaotic Good Win 12-8 1675.21 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
57 Metro North Loss 11-12 1204.01 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
180 Varsity** Win 15-4 1319.34 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
268 Skyscrapers** Win 15-1 845.32 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
174 Alt Stacks** Win 13-5 1341.84 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
209 TBD** Win 15-1 1201.61 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
85 Eat Lightning Win 15-12 1465.6 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
57 Metro North Win 13-3 1929.01 Sep 8th Metro New York Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
109 Birds Win 13-6 1678.47 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
85 Eat Lightning Win 13-5 1765.11 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
8 Slow White Loss 9-13 1411.88 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
71 Chaotic Good Win 15-5 1834.05 Sep 21st Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
7 Wild Card Loss 13-14 1748.76 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
34 XIST Loss 11-12 1405.24 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
85 Eat Lightning Win 13-11 1393.95 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)