#72 Bird (24-12)

avg: 1266.31  •  sd: 58.3  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
130 Impact Win 11-7 1435.72 Jul 14th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
233 ALTimate Brews** Win 11-3 888.36 Ignored Jul 14th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
228 Mixed Duluth** Win 11-3 928.27 Ignored Jul 14th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
166 Spirit Fowl Win 11-9 1036.89 Jul 14th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
112 Mojo Jojo Loss 9-12 717.02 Jul 15th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
184 Mousetrap** Win 11-2 1258.08 Ignored Jul 15th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
145 Pandamonium Win 11-4 1485.38 Jul 15th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
166 Spirit Fowl Win 13-7 1345.21 Jul 15th MN Ultimate Disc Invitational 2018
85 Platypi Loss 8-13 694.51 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
67 Firefly Win 11-10 1407.6 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
23 Lights Out Loss 7-11 1147.57 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
71 Robot Loss 10-14 876.2 Jul 21st Revolution 2018
187 Megalodon** Win 15-2 1243.4 Ignored Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
120 Mimosas Win 12-11 1147.95 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
109 Superstition Win 11-9 1321.66 Jul 22nd Revolution 2018
93 Thoroughbred Loss 9-13 737.98 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
45 Northern Comfort Loss 9-12 1090.49 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
77 Tequila Mockingbird Loss 10-11 1127.9 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
111 panIC Win 12-11 1191.49 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
34 Woodwork Loss 11-15 1134.21 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
70 Chalice Win 14-12 1497.59 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
77 Tequila Mockingbird Win 15-11 1634.06 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
233 ALTimate Brews** Win 13-3 888.36 Ignored Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
217 Mastodon** Win 13-5 1083.04 Ignored Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
145 Pandamonium Win 13-5 1485.38 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
166 Spirit Fowl Win 13-6 1387.68 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
112 Mojo Jojo Win 13-6 1662.39 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
160 Mad Udderburn Win 13-2 1402.17 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
39 Minnesota Star Power Loss 9-13 1080.97 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
45 Northern Comfort Loss 10-13 1107.72 Sep 9th Northwest Plains Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
112 Mojo Jojo Win 12-7 1582.9 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
3 Drag'n Thrust** Loss 3-13 1418.23 Ignored Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
39 Minnesota Star Power Loss 8-13 1003.37 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
145 Pandamonium Win 13-4 1485.38 Sep 22nd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
111 panIC Win 13-8 1562.65 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
145 Pandamonium Win 13-8 1381.54 Sep 23rd North Central Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)